New polls show Trump, Clinton ahead of McMullin in Utah

Posted at 12:38 PM, Nov 03, 2016
and last updated 2016-11-04 08:59:35-04

SALT LAKE CITY — A pair of polls released Thursday show Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump leading in Utah with upstart independent candidate Evan McMullin in third place.

The separate polls by Monmouth University and Rasmussen Reports had Trump ahead of Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. The Heat Street/Rasmussen poll showed Clinton had moved ahead of McMullin. Monmouth’s poll also said a majority of those surveyed believed that Clinton would win the presidency.

In the Monmouth University poll:

  • Donald Trump had 37% support;
  • Hillary Clinton had 31% support;
  • Evan McMullin had 24% support;
  • Gary Johnson had 4% support;
  • Jill Stein had 1% support.

Among Mormons, the Monmouth poll found that McMullin barely trails Trump, 37 to 43 percent, respectively. The survey found that 14 percent of Mormons said they are voting for Clinton, who leads among voters with another religious affiliation or no religious affiliation at all. (Clinton also leads in early voters, Monmouth’s poll said.)

The Heat Street/Rasmussen Reports survey found:

  • Donald Trump had 42% support;
  • Hillary Clinton had 31% support;
  • Evan McMullin had 21% support;
  • Gary Johnson had 3% support
  • Another candidate or undecided made up 4% of the survey

Rasmussen’s poll last week had McMullin a few percentage points behind Trump and ahead of Clinton. The week before that, McMullin was barely behind Trump. Rasmussen noted that “Utah Republicans appear to be coming home to Trump as his race with Clinton tightens.”

Like Monmouth, the Heat Street/Rasmussen Reports poll found that a majority of those surveyed (51%) believed Hillary Clinton would win the election. That was down from surveys conducted in previous weeks among likely Utah voters.