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COVID-19 hits small counties too: A look at weekly case counts proportionally

Posted at 7:12 PM, Jul 07, 2020

SALT LAKE CITY — Utah’s population is concentrated in six counties on the Wasatch Front, and in Cache and Washington Counties.

A cursory look at Utah’s COVID-19 case counts might make you believe the virus is primarily a factor there, but it’s actually just as — or more — prevalent in some smaller counties.

For example, San Juan, Summit and Wasatch Counties all have higher overall rates of COVID-19 measured in proportion with their populations.

Another example, in the week from Tuesday, June 30 to Monday, July 6, Millard County saw more positive tests per capita than any other in Utah.

Along with following case counts, we’re seeing the average number of deaths due to COVID-19 inch up. They just hit an average of 3 per day for the first time. Deaths are considered a “lagging indicator” meaning case increases are reflected in the number of deaths for 2-4 weeks, which is a concern as Utah’s numbers have settled around 550 cases per day.