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You’re more likely to get crushed by asteroid than win $500M Powerball lottery jackpot

Posted at 10:23 AM, Feb 11, 2015
and last updated 2015-02-11 19:56:52-05

Before you start thinking about what you'd do with $500 million, let's get serious: You're not going to win.

Your chances of hitting the jackpot and taking home the entire Powerball winnings are extremely small -- one in 175 million, according to the Multi-State Lottery Association.

So too are the odds that you'll take home a smaller prize of $1 million (one in 5 million) or even $100 (one in 12,000). A financial educator came by the FOX 13 News Studio Wednesday to discuss the odds of winning compared to the value of investing, see the video above for her comments or click here for more information about educating yourself financially.

Still not convinced that your chances are slim?

Here's the math -- from real mathematicians:

"If you just want a positive expected rate of return, then our results ... say to avoid Mega Millions and Powerball," wrote two Emory University professors, Aaron Abrams and Skip Garibaldi.

Their 2010 paper "Finding Good Bets in the Lottery, and Why You Shouldn't Take Them" was published by The Mathematical Association of America.

It's more likely, for example, that you will die in a lightning strike (one in 136,000), or on board a plane (one in 8,000).

It's far more likely that you'll crushed by an asteroid that falls out of the sky (one in 700,000)

It's also more likely that a high school football player will play professionally (one in 1 million).

And it's far more likely that you'll be attacked by a shark (1 in 12 million).

There's nothing wrong with dreaming -- about quitting your job or that private island.

But chances are, you're not going to win.

The Powerball is jackpot is up to $500 million as of Wednesday morning.

The take-home cash value is estimated at about $337.8 million.